Take a look at who the experts are picking to win Sunday's game.
Colleen Wolfe: Raiders
Maurice Jones-Drew: Raiders
Adam Rank: Chargers
Marcas Grant: Chargers
Bucky Brooks: Chargers
Grant Gordon: Chargers
Eric Edholm: Chargers
Nick Shook: Raiders
Kevin Patra: Raiders
Stephania Bell: Chargers
Matt Bowen: Chargers
Mike Clay: Chargers
Jeremy Fowler: Raiders
Dan Graziano: Chargers
Kalyn Kahler: Raiders
Kimberly Martin: Raiders
Eric Moody: Chargers
Jason Reid: Chargers
Lindsey Thiry: Chargers
Seth Wickersham: Chargers
Pete Prisco: Chargers
Will Brinson: Chargers
Jared Dubin: Chargers
Ryan Wilson: Chargers
John Breech: Chargers
Tyler Sullivan: Raiders
Dave Richard: Chargers
Jamey Eisenberg: Chargers
Albert Breer: Chargers
Mitch Goldich: Chargers
Gilberto Manzano: Raiders
Conor Orr: Chargers
John Pluym: Chargers
Matt Verderame: Chargers
Raiders-Chargers Pick
By Nick Hennion, BETMGM
My prediction for Chargers vs. Raiders is the Las Vegas Raiders Spread (+3.5, -115) from the BetMGM online sportsbook.
It's obvious to any close NFL observer that the Chargers, under new head coach Jim Harbaugh, are focused on running the ball.
But that strategy is immediately going to be put to the test in Week 1.
Last year, the Raiders posted two rush defensive grades of 80 or higher, per PFF. Both came against the Chargers.
There's no denying Los Angeles improved their offensive line, but I'm not certain it works against a Raiders unit eighth in rush EPA per play allowed last year, per rbsdm.com.
There are also systems supporting a bet on the Raiders and a fade of the Chargers.
Road divisional dogs south of +6.5 with a total south of 43.5 are 60.5% ATS in September. At +4 or shorter, they improve to 65.3% ATS.
Additionally, early favorites, due to straight optimism, have struggled to cover early.
Since 2005-06, home favorites priced between -7.5 and -0.5 are 90-149-7 ATS (37.7%) in Weeks 1-3, assuming they won eight or fewer games the previous season.
Off a season with five or fewer wins, they fall to 30.1% ATS, including 4-19-1 (17.4%) in divisional contests.
With the line sitting on a key number, I'll back the Raiders to cover at minimum.
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