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Expert Game Picks: Raiders or Dolphins?

Take a look at who the experts are picking to win Sunday's game.

Daniel Jeremiah: Dolphins

Colleen Wolfe: Dolphins

Adam Rank: Dolphins

Marcas Grant: Dolphins

Bucky Brooks: Dolphins

Maurice Jones-Drew: Dolphins

Grant Gordon: Dolphins

Nick Shook: Dolphins

Eric Edholm: Dolphins

Kevin Patra: Dolphins

Stephania Bell: Dolphins

Matt Bowen: Dolphins

Mike Clay: Dolphins

Jeremy Fowler: Dolphins

Dan Graziano: Dolphins

Kalyn Kahler: Dolphins

Kimberly Martin: Dolphins

Eric Moody: Dolphins

Jason Reid: Dolphins

Lindsey Thiry: Dolphins

Seth Wickersham: Dolphins

Pete Prisco: Dolphins

Will Brinson: Dolphins

Jared Dubin: Dolphins

Ryan Wilson: Dolphins

John Breech: Dolphins

Tyler Sullivan: Dolphins

Dave Richard: Dolphins

Jamey Eisenberg: Raiders

Mike Florio: Dolphins

Chris Simms: Dolphins

Albert Breer: Dolphins

Mitch Goldich: Dolphins

Gilberto Manzano: Dolphins

Conor Orr: Raiders

John Pluym: Dolphins

Matt Verderame: Dolphins

Raiders-Dolphins Pick

By Nick Hennion, BETMGM

Based on odds from the BetMGM online sportsbook, I'm taking the Raiders Spread (+8, -115) against the Miami Dolphins in Week 11.

This is a fantastic spot for Vegas off a Week 10 bye week. With extended rest, they get a Dolphins team playing a home game on short rest after Monday Night Football.

Historically, that's not an ideal spot for favorites. Since 2003, conference favorites after a road MNF game between -8.5 and -0.5 are 43-70-5 ATS (38%).

When those teams fall between -8.5 and -5.5: 15-27-2 ATS (35.7%), including 2-12 ATS since 2016.

Plus, there's a clear game plan for Antonio Pierce in this game: run the ball effectively and keep Miami's offense off the field.

Entering Week 11, Miami's front seven has surrendered 4.4 yards per attempt to opposing offenses.

Although Las Vegas has struggled to run the ball this year, the extra prep should bolster their prospects against a weak run defense.

History also suggests fading favorites with bad rush defenses.

Since 2003, home favorites in game five onward allowing between 3.9 and 4.6 yards per attempt, are 43% ATS when listed between -8.5 and -4.5.

Add in Pierce is 5-2 ATS as a dog of +7 or higher and I'll take the points with Vegas.

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for more Raiders-Dolphins odds and all NFL Week 11 odds. You can also view updated futures, including Raiders AFC West odds, team playoff odds, and NFL MVP odds.

If you don't have a sportsbook account, check sportsbook promos for a potential welcome offer or BetMGM Refer A Friend bonus.

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